b3y0nd3r, very interesting. You say:
I would say there is a 3rd choice: " mistaken, yet sincere". Hence Tom-in-CA has A) Not "lied" (since I sincerely believe there is a $400 million treasure in my yard), and B) You don't have any need to "believe" it, since, Tom is most-likely mistaken.
See how it's not 2 choices ? See how it's 3 choices ? So too can it be for O.I.
No. There isn't a third choice. It's my two choices, you don't get a choice in that scenario because you made the statement. Your ability to chose ended when the statement was made.
Hmm, so going with the option of "If b3y0nd3r didn't believe", then you're saying that, in that case, the burden of proof WOULD be on you, do DIS prove it. Right ? In the same way that O.I. falls to the skeptic's to disprove. Ok, I'm with you so far.
And then you go on to list the various methods you might use to discredit my story, Right ? And then you conclude with:
On the contrary. I propose that it will take an infinity. There's not a single shred of evidence, that you could propose as "more plausible explanations", that I couldn't effortlessly bat away. I could find some remote contingency, no matter HOW MANY DRY HOLES were dug in my yard, to explain away the apparent lack of evidence.
Just like O.I., it can never be done. The believer's will have some *possible* way, that a treasure exists at some insane depth. And any suggestions of the unlikelihood of it, will be met with a far-fetched remote possible way in which it *could* still be true. And the ball gets punted back to the skeptics. That's exactly what we see with O.I. (hence the term I invented "wack-a-mole").
So.by your own standard-of-evidence, the $400 million in my backyard is a meritorious claim, that is assumed true, till proven otherwise. You can never disprove it. In that case, my offer stands: $500 per hour mining claim rights. I'll even provide the beer and pretzels !
Sure I most certainly can disprove it. I just have to present the most probable explanation...BASED ON FACTS backed with reputable evidence. Check your character, check your bank accounts, your spending habits. I just have to disprove it to myself.
See underlined.