THE SUN IS WAKING UP

[aarthrj3811]

This is an alert from the Rice Space Institute issued on Wed Jul 20 12:44:00 UTC 2011
Value of NOAA Kp warrants Condition YELLOW

Trigger Kp Value: 4
This alert is based on the NOAA/SWPC nowcast data.
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Last Kp alert YELLOW issued on Jul 20 06:44:00 UTC 2011.
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To see a plot of the Boyle Index and predicted Kp, Dst and AE indices over the last 72 hours, go to
http://mms.rice.edu/realtime/forecast.html

 

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[aarthrj3811]

The predictions from CISM and the CCMC indicate that the three CME's from the latest three solar flares should coalesce and impact soon.
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20110802_102100_anim.tim-den.gif

Whether the CME's actually will cause severe solar activity depends on the direction of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field, which is still unknown until the CME passes the ACE spacecraft at the L1 point.

Our model uses the measured solar wind parameters to make a good, but short-term, prediction of space weather. Our system predicts both the polar cap potential, plus the Kp, AE, and Dst indices. These indexes show mid-latitude activity (maximum is 9); auroral activity (no maximum but 1000 is strong and 2000 is severe); and ring current intensity (negative numbers are stronger; -100 is a strong storm).

Right now the system is set up to send a yellow alert if the predicted or nowcasted Kp is 4 or larger, and a red alert if the predicted or nowcasted Kp is 6 or greater

 

[morbiusandneo]

ReNOT!!!) THE SUN IS WAKING UP

You,guys,are,from,the,same,school,yet,trade,barbs,like,candy.Ridiculous,waste,of,energy.

Bottom,line,is,results.Pissing,contests,just,degrade,us,as,humans,don't,u,think?

My,opinion,is,that,age,trumps,everything.Art,has,had,a,stroke,and,is,now,73,I,do,believe
(been,away,for,years,fromhere,picking,up,
pieces,of,a,shattered,life).
IF,NOTHING,ELSE,show,some,ole-fashioned-respect.These,barbs,sicken,me,to,read....break,my,heart,actually.
ALL,we,have,is,today,folks.
A,community,implies,some,things,yet,as,I've,been,attempting,to"catch-up",
here,recently,I,keep,coming,across,silliness,pettiness,and,even,chaotic,behaviour.

 

[aarthrj3811]

This is an alert from the Rice Space Institute issued on Wed May 23 06:44:00 UTC
2012
Value of NOAA Kp warrants Condition YELLOW

Trigger Kp Value:
5
This alert is based on the NOAA/SWPC nowcast
data.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last
Kp alert YELLOW issued on May 9 19:04:00 UTC
201.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To
see a plot of the Boyle Index and predicted Kp, Dst and AE indices over the last
72 hours, go to
RSI: Space Weather Prediction Page

 

[aarthrj3811]

Not to many days for people to dowse if the storms are what you are waiting for...Art
This is an alert from the Rice Space Institute issued on Mon Jun 4 09:04:00 UTC 2012
Predicted Value of Kp warrants Condition YELLOW

Trigger Kp Value: 4.120052
This prediction is based on the ACE Solar Wind data.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last Kp alert YELLOW issued on Jun 3 12:04:00 UTC 201.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To see a plot of the Boyle Index and predicted Kp, Dst and AE indices over the last 72 hours, go to
RSI: Space Weather Prediction Page

 

[stefen]

My own research showed sun spot and flare activity messed up my LRL system. In fact, after 10 am the sun interfered so much with the LRL signal (clairvoyant could no longer see the signal line) that the electronic dowsing system was useless. After 3pm the signal levels would come back up so we could detect.

Wow, thats great info...

 

[tesorobandit]

I look at the SOHO website daily. Watch the mpeg movies. Great info AND you see crazy things!-from comets and meteors blazing into and around the sun to the strangest anomalies zipping about. The activity this past year has been exceptional.
bandito
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Homepage

 

[signal_line]

There was absolutely no increase in vlf reception from the latest solar disturbance. I will repeat this the UV and X-rays (produce excitation) is what causes increased reception known as "Sudden Ionospheric Disturbances" and there wasn't any and it is not associated with solar wind that the Kp index shows.

I suspect how this whole superstition got started was someone was watching the Kp index when it was in the red when an SID hit and they assumed it was the Kp index. Some people just refuse to let go of their superstitions.

And furthermore, you don't need increased reception to get adequate locating conditions. It's there unless there is a geomagnetic disturbance like the Kp index shows which is only a generalization, nothing specific. And even then the geomagnetic disturbance does not usually last but a few minutes (or even less) at a time---it comes and goes, sometimes often. But when it is off and on, it can damage locating conditions but five minutes later it might be okay. If you don't have steady conditions, the signal line cannot develop and things like iron will not get discriminated out. And when the disturbance is steady, even iron will not produce a signal , nothing.

 

[aarthrj3811]

This is an alert from the Rice Space Institute issued on Tue Jun 5 12:04:00 UTC
2012
Predicted Value of Kp warrants Condition YELLOW

Trigger Kp Value:
4.109844
This prediction is based on the ACE Solar Wind
data.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last
Kp alert YELLOW issued on Jun 4 09:04:00 UTC
201.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To
see a plot of the Boyle Index and predicted Kp, Dst and AE indices over the last
72 hours, go to
RSI: Space Weather Prediction Page

 

[aarthrj3811]

X-Class Solar Flare, Strongest Kind, Erupts From Giant Sunspot 'AR1520'

This may be what some of you have waited 7 years for...I can already see changes in AM Broadcasts..Art

 

[aarthrj3811]

This is an alert from the Rice Space Institute issued on Sun Jul 15 04:04:00 UTC
2012
Predicted Value of Kp warrants Condition RED

Trigger Kp Value:
6.1
This prediction is based on the ACE Solar Wind
data.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last
Kp alert YELLOW issued on Jul 15 02:04:00 UTC
2012.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To
see a plot of the Boyle Index and predicted Kp, Dst and AE indices over the last
72 hours, go to
RSI: Space Weather Prediction Page