Ammonhotep
Sr. Member
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- Apr 21, 2012
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TH,
Actually, Mursi was the Muslim Brotherhood's puppet leader, but that's just splitting hairs.
The Muslim Brotherhood and the Egyptian military are as far apart as your and my political ideologies.
As for civil war? I still think it's highly unlikely, and I pray that I'm not wrong. There are significant differences between Egypt and other conflicted Muslim nations in the Middle East. First of all, there are only political ideological differences. ~90% of the country is Muslim, and almost all Sunni Muslim. There are no tribal differences (with the notable exception of the peoples of the inner Sinai, and they've been a problem for years). The population is incredibly dense, and people with ideological differences live interspersed. Generally, there is no clear geographic separation between the ideological groups.
Egypt is nothing like Iraq, or Syria, or Libya. Sure, if the Muslim Brotherhood sees itself being excluded from the public sphere, some will go underground. That is the worst case scenario in my mind: a return to the Egypt of the November 1997 attacks. In that case, though, the economy will suffer so much more than it is now that the people themselves will root out the extremists.
The vast majority of Egypt still is moderate and have no interest in fighting. The ~10% who are Christians have no interest in fighting. Of course the "liberals" of the country have no interest in fighting. Only God knows, but I still don't see a civil war. I hope and pray that I'm right.
Actually, Mursi was the Muslim Brotherhood's puppet leader, but that's just splitting hairs.
The Muslim Brotherhood and the Egyptian military are as far apart as your and my political ideologies.
As for civil war? I still think it's highly unlikely, and I pray that I'm not wrong. There are significant differences between Egypt and other conflicted Muslim nations in the Middle East. First of all, there are only political ideological differences. ~90% of the country is Muslim, and almost all Sunni Muslim. There are no tribal differences (with the notable exception of the peoples of the inner Sinai, and they've been a problem for years). The population is incredibly dense, and people with ideological differences live interspersed. Generally, there is no clear geographic separation between the ideological groups.
Egypt is nothing like Iraq, or Syria, or Libya. Sure, if the Muslim Brotherhood sees itself being excluded from the public sphere, some will go underground. That is the worst case scenario in my mind: a return to the Egypt of the November 1997 attacks. In that case, though, the economy will suffer so much more than it is now that the people themselves will root out the extremists.
The vast majority of Egypt still is moderate and have no interest in fighting. The ~10% who are Christians have no interest in fighting. Of course the "liberals" of the country have no interest in fighting. Only God knows, but I still don't see a civil war. I hope and pray that I'm right.