Well, we've generated some good discussion with this posting.
We seem to have one extreme to the other. Some say it's basically a "pipe dream" and others a very real possibility. In all the comments so far (I loved all of them), I've learned a little something. This has been great!
Basically, the facts do seem to indicate that finding a single lost gold coin is indeed a very remote possibility. This is the same story I've heard for the last 35+ years. The best chance for gold here in the U.S. would be to find a fruit jar filled with coins. Or, in other words, loot that was buried on purpose.
On the other hand, some have actually found gold coins. So, some were lost. The question is, how many? The truth is, probably very few.
Personally, I never figured on finding a gold coin that was lost shortly after being minted. Gold coins were held in banks for a good part of the 20th century. I know for a fact that many people had gold coins in a drawer at home or they maybe carried one as a sort of "good luck piece." I remember when the price of gold & silver went sky high. People flocked downtown to turn in their gold and silver coins for cash. In fact, I did this myself. I remember the big lineups of folks with rolls of silver quarters, jewelry, and even gold coins. One fellow who was buying in our neighborhood had these large 50 gallon drums filled with loot he bought for the metal.?
Little Johnny goes into mom & dad's room when they're gone and gets into their coins. He takes them outside to play in the dirt with them. Next thing you know, he can't find most of them. He's afraid to tell mom and dad so he says nothing. It's a year or two before mom and dad notice the coins are missing. They look all over but still can't find all of them. Too bad, Johnny forgot that he threw one of the coins at a squirrel. Think this is ridiculous? you don't know kids.
My point: I believe most gold coins lost were lost during more affluent times. Some were "good luck" pieces, others may have been wheels for a toy sand car out in the back yard.
What leads me to this assumption?...my years of detecting and knowledge of human nature. I have personally found two pocket watches buried deep in city parks. How did they get there? Most likely a child or adult purposely put them there. Why would they do this? Who knows, maybe they buried it there because dear departed grandpa loved that park. I once found a Rolex watch buried at the base of a WWI monument. I didn't think about it at the time but I'll bet some family member purposely buried it there in memory of someone.
Here's something for those of you who like to do research. Did you know it was common in the 1800's and early 1900's to place all the coins one owned upon ones grave? In fact, there's a graveyard not far from where I live now that has one grave that's covered with silver dollars and all kinds of coins. It's a very small graveyard in a good community and no one has (to this day) desecrated it.
So what am I saying? Just this, there are lots of old graveyards that today are unmarked and unknown. None of us would mess with an area if we knew it was a grave site. But many of these very early sites have been lost. We had a hospital built in a certain area a few years ago and we found a whole lost cemetery where the parking lot was to go.
Well, I think you see what I'm saying. There are gold coins out there, maybe not dropped from the pockets of poor folks of the 19th century...but they're there.
Copper