Mount Fuji Is In A Critical State And Could Be Ready To Blow, Researchers Say

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Mount Fuji Is In A 'Critical State' And Could Be Ready To Blow, Researchers Say

If this were to happen, imagine the impact on the economy of Japan - and the world. When I was in Tokyo I could see the volcano in the distance....

Mount Fuji Is In A 'Critical State' And Could Be Ready To Blow, Researchers Say

The Huffington Post | By Sara Gates

Posted: 07/17/2014 6:09 pm EDT Updated: 07/19/2014 3:59 pm EDT

Mount Fuji is primed to spew.

After 307 years, the massive active volcano in Japan may be due for another eruption as a result of a buildup of pressure from the 9.0-magnitude earthquake that hit the country's eastern coast in 2011. While volcano eruptions may often be difficult to predict, a new study published by a team of French and Japanese researchers indicates that Mount Fuji is in a particularly precarious state.

"Our work does not say that the volcano will start erupting, but it does show that it's in a critical state," lead author Florent Brenguier, a researcher at the Institute of Earth Sciences in France, told The Guardian.

The team analyzed data from more than 800 seismic sensors in Japan in order to observe how volcanos react to seismic waves, which are generated by impulses such as earthquakes or explosions. By pinpointing how these waves of energy affect volcanos, researchers should be better equipped to evaluate the risk of volcanic eruptions and may even be able to help predict an eruption.

The team scrutinized "seismic noise" to build something similar to an ultrasound of the Earth's crust. What they found is that the regions with the greatest disruptions were not situated near the epicenters of earthquakes, but were instead concentrated beneath volcanic regions, particularly Mount Fuji.

Brenguier explained to The Guardian:

The volcanic regions are the ones where the fluids trapped in the rock -- boiling water, gas, liquid magma, which cause an eruption when they rise to the surface -- exert the greatest pressure. The seismic waves add to this pressure, causing even more disturbance.

While the team could not establish a cause-and-effect relationship between earthquake and volcanic activity, its findings serve as a warning for Japan to be aware of the pressure brewing beneath Mount Fuji. As Quartz notes, an eruption could spell disaster for the 8 million people in Tokyo, as well as the surrounding areas.

Earlier this year, local governments in the districts near the active volcano adopted a comprehensive evacuation plan that calls for 1.2 million people to flee their homes in case of an eruption. Residents of cities immediately surrounding Mount Fuji would be in danger of lava flow, while homes in communities further removed would be most at-risk from falling volcanic ash.

 

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Is Mount Fuji about to ERUPT? Volcano said to be in ‘critical’ condition after devastating 2011 Tohoku earthquake

French and Japanese scientists say Mount Fuji is at higher risk of eruption
Pressure beneath the volcano was increased by the 2011 earthquake
The researchers used an array of 800 seismic sensors to make findings
And they found it mimics conditions from last eruption of Fuji in 1707
While an eruption is not imminent the 'risk is clearly higher' they say

By Jonathan O'Callaghan

Published: 06:26 EST, 16 July 2014 | Updated: 10:34 EST, 16 July 2014

In 2011 Japan was rocked by a magnitude 9 earthquake, the most powerful in the country’s recorded history, which together with a tsunami killed more than 15,000 people and caused upwards of £20.2 billion ($34.6 billion) in damage.

But it seems the effects of the earthquake are not over yet, as the huge tremor may have disrupted Mount Fuji and placed it in a critical condition.

The result could be an eruption that mimics the last in 1707, which bathed vast swathes of Japan in ash and caused untold damage, at a time when the country was much less populated.
French and Japanese scientists say that Mount Fuji is at higher risk of eruption. Its last major eruption was in 1707, at a time when the country was much less populated. In the modern day, just 60 miles (100 kilometres) south west of Tokyo (pictured), an eruption could be catastrophic



French and Japanese scientists say that Mount Fuji is at higher risk of eruption. Its last major eruption was in 1707, at a time when the country was much less populated. In the modern day, just 60 miles (100 kilometres) south west of Tokyo (pictured), an eruption could be catastrophic

The research was carried out by scientists at the Institute of Earth Sciences in Grenoble, France and the Institute of Global Physics in Paris, working in collaboration with Japanese scientists.

ALL ABOUT MOUNT FUJI

At an elevation of 3,776 metres (12,388 feet), Mount Fuji is the highest mountain in Japan.

It is an active stratovolcano found on Honshu island that last erupted in December 1707.

Known as the Hoei eruption, this is thought to have expelled a billion cubic metres of ash and debris.

Mount Fuji lies 60 miles (100 kilometres) south west of Tokyo, which in 1707 was called Edo.

On 22 June 2014 Mount Fuji was added to the World Heritage List as a Cultural Site, one of Japan’s ‘Three Holy Mountains’.

For the first time they observed the response of Japanese volcanoes to seismic waves produced by the Tohoko earthquake of 2011.

Their conclusions, published in Science, reveal how earthquakes can impact volcanoes and should help to assess the risk of massive volcanic eruptions worldwide.

'Our work does not say that the volcano will start erupting, but it does show that it's in a critical state,' Dr Florent Brenguier, lead author of the publication, told The Guardian.

After the giant Tohoku-oki earthquake of 2011, the researchers analysed over 70 terabytes of seismic data from the network.

For the first time, they showed that the regions where the perturbations of the Earth's crust were the greatest were not those where the shocks were the strongest.

They were in fact localised under volcanic regions, especially under Mount Fuji.

The reason for this is likely due to fluids trapped under the volcano such as boiling water and liquid magma.

‘Essentially the idea is that before this study we had very few methods to know the state of pressure of the volcano at depth,’ Dr Brenguier tells MailOnline.

‘With this new method, we are able to get insights on how the interior of the volcano, the part between the magma chamber and the surface, is affected.

‘We think that these are important in the preparation of eruption.’



The new research shows how volcanoes can be affected, or induce, earthquakes. Previous research suggests Mount Fuji, which is found on Honshu Island, may be sitting on a active fault 19 miles (30 kilometres) wide that could be capable of causing magnitude 7 earthquakes, possibly enough to cause an eruption



The crustal seismic velocity drop induced by the Tohoku earthquake highlights a large anomaly below Mt Fuji volcano, as seen here in this 3D rendering released by the researchers

The researchers found a high anomaly beneath the volcano, despite it being 310 miles (500 kilometres) from the epicentre of the 2011 earthquake, suggesting pressure was building.

However, Dr Brenguier adds: ‘It is not possible within our results to know when an eruption will occur or what size it will be.

‘We were just able to map the fact there is an anomaly in the partly pressurised region, so the volcanic risk in that region is higher.'

‘I can’t tell about future eruptions, but what I can say is we are expecting a new earthquake rather close to Mount Fuji.

‘Within 100 kilometres a large earthquake is expected.

‘If there were this large earthquake close, again the risk would be very high of having an eruption.’



In 2011 Japan was rocked by a magnitude 9 earthquake named Tohoko, the most powerful in the country's recorded history, which together with a tsunami killed more than 15,000 people and caused upwards of £20.2 billion ($34.6 billion) in damage



The last time Mount Fuji erupted was on 16 December 1707, and that eruption was preceded by the violent 8.7-magnitude Hoei earthquake 49 days before. It spread ash of varying levels across east Japan (shown). The researchers say no eruption is imminent at the moment, however

The findings were made using 800 seismic sensors and recording fluctuations underground that can map geological disturbances.

The new method thus enabled the scientists to observe the anomalies caused by the perturbations from the earthquake in volcanic regions under pressure.

Mount Fuji, which exhibits the greatest anomaly, is probably under great pressure, although no eruption has yet followed the Tohoku earthquake.

The last time Mount Fuji erupted was on 16 December 1707, and that eruption was preceded by the violent 8.7-magnitude Hoei earthquake 49 days before.

With regards to the 2011 earthquake on 11 March, it was followed by a 6.4 magnitude quake four days later.

This confirmed the criticial state of Mounti Fuji to the researchers.

They add, however, that there is no need for evacuation or any other drastic measures in Japan yet, although caution must be taken.

‘All we can say is that Mount Fuji is now in a state of pressure, which means it displays a high potential for eruption,’ Dr Brenguier added to the Guardian.

‘The risk is clearly higher.’



The researchers showed for the first time that the regions where the perturbations of the Earth's crust were the greatest after the 2011 earthquake were not those where the shocks were the strongest, but under volcanic regions, especially under Mount Fuji (pictured from space)

The ‘critical’ nature of the volcano comes from the state of the magma stored 3.1 miles (five kilometres) beneath the surface in the rock mass.

‘This part of the crust is kind of critical in a sense that perturbation from seismic waves generated by an earthquake will generate quite significantly in the crust,' Dr Brenguier tells MailOnline.

‘It is critical in fracturation of the rock mass below the volcano.

‘This could eventually lead to transport of magma to the surface.

‘We can say that there is a high risk, there is a zone, an area that we image, that shows an anomaly of pressure.
‘There were theories that the magma should be quite pressurised because the last eruption was 300 years ago.

‘For the first time we made a direct observation of this kind of critical stage.

But he adds it is not possible within their results for the researchers to give an exact timescale for when an eruption might occur.

 

[VERDE]

Hey ADS!! Interesting article and thanks for sharing!! Would be a catastrophic event!! Hope your well!! GOOD LUCK and GOOD HUNTING!! VERDE!!

 

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Note that the 1707 eruption dropped 16 cm of ash in the area of Tokyo, which equates to over 6 inches. That by itself would be pretty bad news. The world's economy is pretty bad as it is. An eruption at Fuji wouldn't make it any better.....