Gold May Hit Record Before Year-End on U.S. Election Risk, Citi Warns

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-may-hit-record-end-054440244.html

Ranjeetha Pakiam
Wed, September 23, 2020, 1:44 AM EDT

(Bloomberg) -- Gold could hit a record before the year-end, aided in part by the risks surrounding the U.S. presidential election, according to Citigroup Inc.

Uncertainty over the contest and delays about the outcome may “be under-appreciated by precious metals markets,” analysts including Aakash Doshi said in a quarterly commodities outlook. The bank’s forecast implies a surge of more than $200 for bullion futures from current levels.

Gold rallied to an all-time high last month as investors sought havens amid the coronavirus pandemic, but prices have slipped back since then. Citi’s outlook reflects rising investor concern about the battle for the White House that pits incumbent Donald Trump against challenger Joe Biden. The already complex race has acquired added tension with Trump’s plan to speedily replace the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the U.S. Supreme Court.

The election “could be an extraordinary catalyst for gold flat price and volatility skew late in the fourth quarter, even though historically there is no clear pattern for gold trading or price volatility into and after U.S. elections,” Citi said,. “That is one reason why we expect gold prices to hit fresh records before year-end.”

Futures traded at $1,894.20 an ounce on the Comex at 12:36 p.m. in Singapore, with prices losing ground this week on a rising dollar. Most-active prices set a record $2,089.20 on Aug. 7. In addition to the election, Citi is very positive on gold amid low interest rates, saying it’s in the middle of a bull cycle.

Election day is Nov. 3.
 

we are printing a lot of money that is backed by nothing, almost scary. I read somewhere if we were to back the dollar with gold, it would made gold very valuable.
 

we are printing a lot of money that is backed by nothing, almost scary. I read somewhere if we were to back the dollar with gold, it would made gold very valuable.
We? If we were to counterfeit money we’d end up in prison. As far as gold, the PM market is rigged.

“It’s a big club and we ain’t in it.”
 

The problem is many folks want to buy PMs because they think it will make them "rich" when the dollar crashes someday. This is a bad investment strategy. Better to use metals as a hedge and be diversified.

Too many online pundits that people like to believe who say "sell your assets and buy gold", etc. I fell for this type of BS years ago and have a bunch of silver that will hopefully go up someday. I could sell it all now for a profit but after holding it this long might as well wait.
 

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